Static determinant 12/12, entry 9/9 and operator checkpoint 16/16 remain bounded. The branchwise WKB state failed 11/12, exact scalar/first-order Dirac transport passed 18/18, the D5 scaffold passed 20/20, and the fixed-metric scalar/chi operator passed 25/25. The local scalar-matrix Hadamard parametrix passes 22/22 through U_2; the finite-order Route-B diagnostic passes 8/8, the registered Route-A scalar-state construction passes 10/10 theorem-backed checks, and the scoped curved-Dirac operator passes 13/13. A separate H1/X4-S4 candidate-action route passes 21/21 with 15/15 mutations rejected; its registered zero-charge benchmark is rejected and the next curved-route contract passes 13/13, but no curved background or parent acceptance follows. physics_pass=false; this is not independent peer review or a numerical physics pass, and spinor state, normalization, graviton/ghost and parity data, determinant, renormalized stress and the physical Hessian remain open.
Canonical Gate Status Dashboard
Authoritative baseline: v12.0-alpha.12 (Fail-Closed) · Current programme route: Master Tests 1–3 / conditional R4C1 · TOP-X4 remains a separate stress hold
The conditional R4C1 candidate records 119/119 first-current, 162/162 full-variation, 48/48 interacting-background, 56/56 GR-control and 63/63 coefficient-identifiability checks. S1/S2/S3 add 71/71 scalar-constraint, 56/56 corrected-propagation and 57/57 zero-branch checks. The regular-chart kinetic result, defective zero branch, physical matching, full well-posedness and stability remain bounded research questions; physics_pass=false.
Stage 5 holds tier-1 closure (M2/M3/M6/M7 hold); physical interaction scale, matching, and EFT cutoff open.
Conditional Track-A form kit only; V = C_m / √K_Q not computed; parent Z_φ, g_φ incomplete.
The table/CAMB controls and 12/12 action-derived interface bookkeeping contract are reproducible. The physical temperature map, early plenum, Qμ, SN and action-derived Geff are still absent from the upstream branch.
The repaired 152-galaxy comparator gives profiled raw χ²_ν = 10.86 for declared C=1 and 25.70 for historical C=2/3. Neither is an ITSM prediction; the historical optimizer/MCMC claims are quarantined.
Free Casimir dilutes to spatial isotropy (H_t/H_p → 1.000); the inserted driven control reaches the historical 13/12 neighbourhood only with continuous modulus drift. Static finite-cutoff and driven receipts remain physics_pass=false.
WAK is a prescribed-source damped scalar-field control; RES is an inserted-rate single-mode GKSL control; VOR is an acoustic/winding scaffold. None closes hydrodynamics, a microscopic reservoir, lensing or physical resonance.
Unmodified CAMB ΛCDM calibration gives σ₈ = 0.809386 and r* = 144.575 Mpc. No ITSM Boltzmann hierarchy, S₈ prediction, IMF or mass-to-light ratio is computed.
Honesty is a credibility asset (GEMINI.md Rules 1, 3, 6, 7 & 9)
No observational claim may outrank its upstream field sector. Rule-9 review is currently deferred, so a review-only delay does not stop bounded provisional work; substantive missing inputs and failed physics checks still hold the affected use, and canonical/publication promotion remains gated.
External evidence watch
14 September 2026 · unreviewed inputs, no gate change
Six preprints survived duplicate and relevance screening. They define bounded future tests and do not constitute Rule-9 review, a physics-gate receipt or publication clearance. The BBN analyses are the highest- priority additions.
BBN nuisance marginalization
Akharman et al. · arXiv:2609.12065 presents Planck+DESI DR2 BAO+BBN and BAO+BBN+CMB inference with explicit BBN nuisance propagation; its fiducial h remains near 0.68.
ITSM test: Couple the early plenum and Qμ to PArthENoPE/AlterBBN, marginalize nuclear and abundance inputs, and report abundances, rs and H0.
Empirical primordial helium
Loverde, Saravanan & Weiner · arXiv:2609.13140 uses LBT helium to test early-time radiation, relic and varying-constant scenarios without enforcing standard-BBN closure.
ITSM test: Derive Yp/D/H versus plenum density, Geff(z), Qμ and expansion; fit helium independently and predeclare the z≈109 plenum bound.
BBN-001 bounded control
The local control now loads all five bundled BBN tables, resolves the PRIMAT 2024 Ombh2/ombh2 schema mismatch, and verifies the CAMB helium bridge. The separate action-derived interface contract validates its 12-field bookkeeping vocabulary, while a fail-closed upstream-interface preflight confirms that the registered UVIR-003 branch lacks the physical temperature, plenum, transfer and effective-gravity inputs required for an ITSM BBN run. The receipt is reproducible and remains CONTROL_ONLY with physics_pass=false.
Boundary: this validates software and external-table plumbing only. The action-derived early-plenum background, Qμ, Geff(z), nuisance likelihood and independent review remain open.
JWST clustering targets
Lim et al. · arXiv:2609.12040 supplies clustering-derived halo-mass and bias targets for JADES through high redshift, with field-variance and star-formation-model limits.
ITSM test: Generate JADES-matched light cones and report Mh, bh, cosmic variance and assembly-bias sensitivity against ΛCDM and bursty controls.
Bright and dark sirens
Colombo, Triscari-Benimavò & Mastrogiovanni · arXiv:2609.12053 finds that a small bright-siren sample helps break the H0–Ωm degeneracy affecting dark sirens.
ITSM test: Infer H0 and Ωm jointly within ITSM before propagating into a0=CχcH0; do not import a ΛCDM prior.
Primordial curvature limits
An et al. · arXiv:2609.12867 reports no tested scalar-induced LVK background and limits primordial curvature even where PBHs are rare or evaporated.
ITSM test: Apply the O1–O4a likelihood only if ITSM derives an enhanced scalar spectrum or induced ΩGW(f); keep it separate from late-time propagation tests.
Intrinsic alignments in lensing
Chawla et al. · arXiv:2609.12038 shows in Stage-IV simulations that unmodelled intrinsic alignments can bias parameters and mimic lower Ωm/S8.
ITSM test: Add alignment fields to weak-lensing mocks and jointly fit spectra, PDFs, peaks, minima and voids before attributing low S8 to plenum dynamics.
No MAT-001, UVIR-003, TOP-X4, Rule-9 or publication status changes follow from this watch. The dated screen found no material new SPARC, merging-cluster, official DESI or GW170817 propagation result; that is a screening outcome, not an exhaustive literature claim.